Post by
YourMomSA | 2020-06-25 | 14:27:39
I'm in the US, so the start time was 6 AM in my time zone. I don't lose sleep for the game very often. Usually only in coastal TWA situations (like short-tacking a coastline). I usually miss the wind update that occurs at 4:30 AM my time and adjust when I get up the next morning. No different here. I went to bed with a straight line set to the first corner, but with it in my mind that depending on the 4:30 AM update, I might prefer TWA 120.
I happened to wake up at 5:50, so I checked it on my phone. Zezo said compass 130 was TWA 129 and VR UI said it was 109, and I didn't have dashboard and I didn't want to disturb the family by walking to a computer... So I took a "trust neither" attitude toward it. Reverted to my personal preference to avoid sailchanges, and also relied on knowledge that this boat likes TWA 120 better than anything else in these windspeeds. So I set it to TWA 120 and went back to sleep, knowing my alarm was set for 6:40 to get up in time for work anyway.
So... how did I know? I didn't. But it wasn't dumb luck either. It was falling back on experience under uncertainty, which gave me better odds of being right.
FWIW... I doubt the difference will be big. A sailchange at 6 knots boatspeed with pro winches costs about 0.06 nm. Although the boatspeed at TWA 120 is notably better than at TWA 115, so maybe it's worth 0.1-0.2 nm.
Also... It's important to be true to your own personality and preferences under uncertainty. If you're happiest hand-steering based on the VR UI until things sync, great. If you're happiest following the Zezo route and hoping VR syncs with it fast, that's fine. If you're happiest sifting through the dashboard truth to figure out what that means relative to UI and Zezo to try to mentally route it, have fun trying. But in the end, you're always going to be wrong sometimes, and you'll be more content with your mistakes if you followed your own instincts.